Getting straight to the point, leverage measures the importance of a single point to the final outcome of a tennis match by quantifying how much a player’s probability of winning the match changes. The Stats Perform AI group introduced the concepts at the 2022 MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference. In this article, we’re introducing two new Stats Perform metrics – leverage and momentum – which allow us to highlight important points in WTA tennis matches beyond the generic points mentioned above. These decisive moments are often confined to break points or important holds of serve, but the reality is there are just as important points leading to these scenarios. Before you know it, you’re watching a final-set decider. ![]() A player is in control of a tennis match, seemingly cruising to victory and then – what seems like out of nowhere – their opponent gets an unexpected hold or break.
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